Barack Obama’s presidential bid is starting to get in trouble and a win come November is no longer a sure thing. According to recent polls his campaign has lost steam and most importantly ground against John McCain’s. In a year where historically the party out of power should have an advantage in winning the presidential election and picking up seats in both House and Senate elections Democrats are starting to waver. So, what’s going on?
Moneywise Obama’s campaign is doing great and rolling along. Last month they raised $ 66 million, more than any candidate in USA history, breaking his own $ 55 million record set in February, 2008. As impressive as that record was, last month 500,000 new donors signed up and Obama has had a total of 2.5 million people send his campaign money. Another record. Many political pundits predict Obama might raise another $ 90 million, give or take a few million, before the election.
Their information and propaganda apparatus is unrivaled because the staff working for his campaign is very tech savvy and well connected to a sympathetic Mainstream Media (MSM) that is favorably inclined in favor of Obama because it shares the Democratic worldview. The campaign’s press releases, ads, corrections, rebuttals and opinions make it to the all major newspapers, magazines, college newspapers, liberal web sites, liberal talk radio, to both social news and social bookmarking web sites, to both cable news and TV channels, etc., all over the world within minutes after being made public. The recipients most of the time immediately post the items on their websites while waiting, as is the case for printed media outlets for printing time to come around, or as is the case for radio, cable or TV opinion and news programs, for their time slots to come up.
Among volunteers, paid and unpaid, moral is high and they feel energized. Volunteers are out in droves knocking on doors, talking to likely and unlikely voters, asking permission for putting up lawn signs, handing out flyers and buttons, registering new voters, making phone calls, asking for donations to the campaign and always on the lookout for more volunteers to join them on their quest. Besides the traditional volunteers, Hollywood and music stars are promoting Obama in record numbers posting favorable music videos, giving their endorsements, wearing clothes with his face stamped on them during concerts, posting blogs, performing at campaign rallies, holding fundraisers, attending fundraisers where they are the headliners, performing under Obama/Biden banners, and of course giving money from their own pockets to the campaign.
Barack Obama seems to have all the media, volunteers and stars he needs besides being able to raise more than enough money to compete against McCain. The problem is, in my opinion, that less and less people who are not committed Democrats want to hear his message of change. After a while someone who is in the news 24/7 and 365 days a year gets boring, specially when all they offer is hope and change. The mystical bloom is off the Barack Obama Black Prince rose and, to many, has left him exposed as a human being, a mortal man running for office.
Imagine the following hypothetical conversation between a likely voter of center or a slight conservative leaning and Barack Obama:
A center or center-right uncommitted voter asks Obama, “You want to change things. Change from what?”
Obama answers, “Politics as usal.”
The voter says, “OK, I like that. So how are you going to change things?”
Obama says, “By changing how things are done in Washington.”
“Mr. Obama.” The voter asks again, “Please explain how you are going to change things in Washington.”
Obama retorts, “By changing how business is conducted in Washington.”
After almost 2 years of the same cat and mouse games people are tuning Obama out. After all imagine if Obama hypothetically had answered the last question with the following:
Obama, “I will change things in Washington by raising your taxes, by keeping unqualified union teachers in classrooms teaching your children, by teaching age appropriate sex-ed in kindergarten, by talking to our enemies without pre-conditions, by promoting abortion as a mistake erasing alternative, by running away from Iraq, by opposing to produce more conventional energy, by increasing welfare and social programs, by reducing the size of our military, by unilaterally re-negotiating signed Free Trade Agreements, by appointing liberal judges that interpret the Constitution instead of ruling by the Constitution, by giving Citizenship to illegal aliens, by investing billions in alternative energy projects that might or might not work, by signing the Kyoto Protocol without demanding that India and China do the same, by handling terrorism as a law-enforcement issue, by suppressing religious beliefs in favour of atheism in the name of the separation of Church and State, by equating the rights of foreigners with those enjoyed by USA Citizens, by teaching a more liberal curriculum from Kindergarten to twelfth grade, by getting the UN and the International Community more involved in USA affairs, by taking away from union members their right to keep their vote secret in union elections, by believing Global Warming is mostly caused by humans, and by adopting more European values.”
He would lose the election as no one besides his left-wing base would vote for a candidate that stands for all those values. I may be mistaken but I do believe the above is what Obama stands for.
With an energized Republican party on the warpath thanks to Sarah Palin being picked to be McCain’s running mate, the public perceiving a liberal bias in the Mainstream Media that no longer reports news objectively, young women starting to look at Sarah Palin as an alternative role model, and Obama starting to be viewed as a politics-as-usual-politician, Barack Obama is in trouble.